Le Havre vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.6%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
DIJ
2 - 3
LHA
43%
28%
29%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
LHA
4 - 1
FCG
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
LHA
2 - 0
CHA
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
GRE
0 - 2
LHA
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2007 |
LHA
1 - 0
NAN
34%
29%
38%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2007 |
TRO
4 - 2
REI
67%
20%
12%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
CHA
1 - 3
TRO
31%
28%
42%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2007 |
TRO
2 - 0
FCG
68%
19%
13%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2007 |
TRO
2 - 0
BAS
56%
24%
20%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2007 |
MPL
3 - 0
TRO
33%
28%
39%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |