Le Havre vs Toulouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1961 |
LEN
2 - 0
LHA
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
SOC
6 - 1
LHA
51%
22%
27%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
LHA
1 - 1
ASN
52%
23%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
ANG
0 - 0
LHA
59%
20%
21%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
LHA
1 - 0
SFP
56%
22%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Toulouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 1961 |
SFP
3 - 4
TFC
48%
23%
29%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1961 |
MON
4 - 3
TFC
58%
21%
21%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
TFC
0 - 1
NÎM
38%
24%
38%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1961 |
ASS
4 - 1
TFC
61%
20%
20%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
TFC
1 - 0
FCR
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |