Le Havre vs PSG analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
6.7%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
74.9%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.8%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.5%
0-4
6.2%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
3%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.9%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
7º
16º
15º
12
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
12 | 80 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 68 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 82.5% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 16% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
27% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LHA
0 - 6
RTV
23%
24%
54%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
LHA
1 - 2
RED
50%
26%
25%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
NEC
1 - 1
LHA
64%
20%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2024 |
AZA
1 - 1
LHA
74%
17%
10%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
LHA
0 - 1
LOR
38%
25%
37%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
PSG
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
RBL
1 - 1
PSG
58%
22%
21%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
STR
2 - 2
PSG
13%
18%
69%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
LYO
1 - 2
PSG
24%
21%
55%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
MET
0 - 2
PSG
10%
16%
73%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
NIC
1 - 2
PSG
18%
21%
61%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | 0 |