Le Havre vs Nancy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
21.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 1986 |
SPO
0 - 0
LHA
48%
26%
25%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
LHA
3 - 1
SOC
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
GIR
3 - 0
LHA
81%
12%
7%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
LHA
1 - 1
REN
58%
23%
19%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
NAN
0 - 0
LHA
72%
17%
11%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Nancy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 1986 |
ASN
0 - 1
GIR
32%
28%
40%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
REN
0 - 0
ASN
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1986 |
ASN
0 - 0
MET
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1986 |
NIC
1 - 0
ASN
54%
24%
22%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 1986 |
ASN
3 - 0
SPO
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | +1 |