Le Havre vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2011 |
LHA
5 - 0
GRE
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
NAN
2 - 1
LHA
51%
26%
23%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
LHA
3 - 4
VAN
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
MET
2 - 0
LHA
47%
28%
25%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
LHA
1 - 2
TRO
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2011 |
ETG
4 - 3
MET
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2011 |
MET
3 - 0
NÎM
59%
26%
16%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2011 |
IST
2 - 3
MET
39%
29%
33%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2011 |
MET
2 - 0
LHA
47%
28%
25%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2011 |
SED
3 - 1
MET
50%
27%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |