Le Havre vs Le Mans analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
43.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
LHA
74%
17%
10%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2009 |
NIC
1 - 0
LHA
59%
23%
18%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2009 |
LHA
0 - 1
TFC
37%
28%
35%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
UJA
0 - 2
LHA
13%
19%
68%
|
74 | 42 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
LIL
3 - 1
LHA
63%
22%
15%
|
74 | 86 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Le Mans
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 1
LMU
41%
27%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2009 |
YZE
0 - 0
LMU
8%
16%
77%
|
82 | 43 | 39 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
GRE
2 - 1
LMU
26%
26%
49%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2008 |
LMU
1 - 3
GIR
29%
28%
43%
|
82 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2008 |
PSG
3 - 1
LMU
51%
25%
25%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |