Le Havre vs Lorient analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
50.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
REI
2 - 1
LHA
59%
23%
18%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
LHA
2 - 2
MON
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
USB
1 - 1
LHA
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2011 |
LHA
3 - 0
TRO
57%
24%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
LHA
0 - 2
CLE
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Lorient
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 0
CAE
45%
26%
29%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
MAR
2 - 1
LOR
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
LOR
0 - 1
LYO
24%
25%
51%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
MPL
4 - 0
LOR
43%
26%
31%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
LOR
1 - 0
NIC
54%
25%
21%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |