Le Havre vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.2%
53%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.8%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
6
7º
16º
15º
6
2º
8º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 80 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 68 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 19% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 13.5% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 18.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
1% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
54% | 38.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
27% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TFC
2 - 0
LHA
61%
22%
18%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LHA
3 - 1
AUX
32%
26%
41%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
ASS
0 - 2
LHA
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
LHA
1 - 4
PSG
9%
16%
75%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
LHA
0 - 6
RTV
23%
24%
54%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2024 |
SCP
2 - 0
LIL
50%
25%
26%
|
91 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 0
LIL
21%
26%
53%
|
91 | 77 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
1 - 3
PSG
32%
23%
45%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
SLP
2 - 1
LIL
34%
26%
39%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
LIL
2 - 0
ANG
77%
16%
8%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |