Le Havre vs Guingamp analysis

Le Havre Guingamp
64 ELO 71
2.8% Tilt -5.2%
635º General ELO ranking 1133º
19º Country ELO ranking 26º
ELO win probability
40.6%
Le Havre
27.1%
Draw
32.4%
Guingamp

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
Le Havre
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.4%
Win probability
Guingamp
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Le Havre
-10%
-3%
Guingamp

ELO progression

Le Havre
Guingamp
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Le Havre
Le Havre
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jan. 2013
BEL
Belfort
1 - 3
Le Havre
LHA
12%
22%
66%
65 40 25 0
21 Dec. 2012
STL
Stade Lavallois
1 - 2
Le Havre
LHA
42%
27%
31%
64 60 4 +1
14 Dec. 2012
LHA
Le Havre
1 - 0
Le Mans
LMU
47%
26%
27%
63 66 3 +1
11 Dec. 2012
IST
Istres
3 - 0
Le Havre
LHA
45%
27%
28%
64 64 0 -1
08 Dec. 2012
SAI
Saint-Amand
1 - 3
Le Havre
LHA
13%
20%
68%
64 21 43 0

Matches

Guingamp
Guingamp
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Jan. 2013
MAR
Olympique Marseille
2 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
73%
18%
9%
70 86 16 0
21 Dec. 2012
GUI
Guingamp
0 - 0
Gazélec Ajaccio
GAZ
66%
20%
13%
71 61 10 -1
17 Dec. 2012
LEN
Lens
1 - 1
Guingamp
GUI
44%
27%
29%
70 69 1 +1
11 Dec. 2012
GUI
Guingamp
0 - 0
Arles
ARL
68%
20%
12%
70 61 9 0
07 Dec. 2012
STL
Stade Lavallois
1 - 2
Guingamp
GUI
37%
26%
38%
70 62 8 0