Le Havre vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
27.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2023 |
REI
1 - 0
LHA
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LHA
3 - 1
NIC
20%
28%
52%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +2 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
STR
2 - 1
LHA
54%
25%
21%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
LHA
0 - 2
PSG
7%
16%
77%
|
74 | 91 | 17 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 0
LHA
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2023 |
AMI
0 - 0
CAE
30%
26%
44%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 0
DUN
58%
24%
18%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
RCC
1 - 4
CAE
4%
9%
87%
|
66 | 9 | 57 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
ANN
1 - 2
CAE
36%
26%
38%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 0
BAS
42%
26%
31%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |