Le Havre vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21%
13.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2002 |
LMU
2 - 0
LHA
39%
28%
34%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2002 |
LHA
3 - 1
LUS
68%
21%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2002 |
ASB
1 - 1
LHA
38%
28%
34%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2002 |
LHA
3 - 0
NÎM
67%
21%
12%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
LHA
3 - 1
CHA
49%
26%
25%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
CAE
1 - 1
IST
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2002 |
NIC
2 - 1
CAE
49%
26%
25%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2002 |
CAE
1 - 2
STL
51%
25%
24%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2002 |
AMI
3 - 2
CAE
57%
24%
20%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2002 |
CAE
2 - 2
FCG
42%
26%
32%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |