Le Havre vs Bourges 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
8%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
17.7%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
14.1%
4.8%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Le Havre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1992 |
AUX
3 - 0
LHA
72%
19%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 1992 |
LHA
1 - 1
TFC
46%
29%
25%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1992 |
AFV
0 - 3
LHA
15%
24%
61%
|
74 | 26 | 48 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1992 |
ASS
4 - 0
LHA
53%
26%
21%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 1992 |
LHA
1 - 1
NÎM
59%
24%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Bourges 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 1992 |
BOU
2 - 1
STL
19%
25%
57%
|
42 | 70 | 28 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1991 |
PSG
1 - 0
BOU
91%
7%
2%
|
42 | 78 | 36 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1991 |
BOU
1 - 0
GIR
14%
23%
63%
|
41 | 82 | 41 | +1 |