Haverfordwest County vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
55.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.2%
0-3
6%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+42%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
11º
7º
60
1º
6º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 4
BAL
22%
25%
53%
|
56 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
TRE
2 - 1
HAV
3%
8%
89%
|
56 | 12 | 44 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
HAV
54%
25%
21%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAR
29%
28%
43%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2022 |
TNS
3 - 0
CAE
62%
20%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
TNS
2 - 0
PON
78%
15%
8%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
BAL
0 - 5
TNS
49%
24%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
AAA
1 - 1
TNS
4%
9%
87%
|
68 | 32 | 36 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2022 |
TNS
4 - 1
NEW
60%
21%
19%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |