Haverfordwest County vs The New Saints analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
67.5%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
14.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
12.1%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
+86%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2015 |
ABE
0 - 5
HAV
27%
24%
49%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
HAV
4 - 1
TON
68%
19%
14%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2015 |
TAF
0 - 2
HAV
44%
24%
32%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +3 |
| 14 Apr. 2015 |
HAV
3 - 3
GOY
47%
23%
30%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
HAV
3 - 0
CAM
62%
20%
18%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
The New Saints
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
FHV
1 - 1
TNS
53%
23%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
TNS
0 - 1
FHV
45%
24%
31%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2015 |
TNS
4 - 1
B36
50%
23%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2015 |
B36
1 - 2
TNS
47%
25%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
NEW
69%
17%
15%
|
67 | 56 | 11 | 0 |