Haverfordwest County vs Pontypridd United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
23.1%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-37%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
11º
8º
13
7º
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
38% | 3% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
62% | 97% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 4
CAR
70%
17%
14%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 1
B36
24%
23%
52%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2023 |
B36
2 - 1
HAV
70%
18%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 0
SHK
26%
23%
51%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
HAV
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Pontypridd United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
LLA
1 - 4
PON
18%
22%
60%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2023 |
PON
1 - 2
NEW
35%
25%
41%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PON
3 - 2
FLI
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CAE
1 - 2
PON
63%
20%
17%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
PON
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |