Haverfordwest County vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
44.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.3%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-38%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
11º
7º
33
6º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 2
HAV
47%
24%
29%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HAV
3 - 0
AIR
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
1 - 1
HAV
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 0
CAE
28%
26%
47%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2022 |
HAV
4 - 2
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
2 - 1
CAE
43%
25%
32%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 0
NEW
54%
23%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 2
FLI
59%
22%
18%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 0
TNS
39%
26%
35%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
39%
24%
37%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |