Haverfordwest County vs Newtown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
30.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
HAV
2 - 3
BAL
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
AIR
5 - 0
HAV
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
HAV
2 - 1
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 4
HAV
48%
24%
29%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Newtown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
NEW
1 - 0
AIR
36%
26%
38%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
ABE
2 - 2
NEW
63%
21%
17%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2011 |
NEW
0 - 1
CAR
48%
23%
28%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2011 |
BAL
0 - 2
NEW
50%
24%
26%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NEW
4 - 4
HAV
48%
24%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |