Haverfordwest County vs Flint Town United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
11º
7º
24
2º
10º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2022 |
TAF
1 - 1
HAV
17%
20%
63%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAE
2 - 1
HAV
59%
21%
20%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HAV
2 - 3
NEW
29%
27%
45%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
3 - 2
HAV
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HAV
3 - 0
AIR
52%
24%
24%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Flint Town United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2022 |
RTW
1 - 3
FLI
12%
18%
70%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
FLI
1 - 1
BAL
27%
26%
47%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CAR
1 - 0
FLI
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2022 |
AIR
1 - 3
FLI
34%
25%
41%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
PEN
2 - 1
FLI
47%
25%
28%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |