Haverfordwest County vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.5%
28%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28%
47.2%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
14.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
11º
7º
44
2º
12º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
44 | 44 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 41 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 41 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
27 | 27 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
25 | 25 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 24 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 22 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 20 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
0 | 1 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
TNS
3 - 1
HAV
76%
15%
10%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
HAV
1 - 1
PON
60%
22%
18%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2022 |
PON
3 - 2
HAV
26%
24%
50%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
HAV
3 - 1
ABE
49%
25%
27%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Dec. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
HAV
53%
24%
23%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CON
55%
22%
23%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
LLA
0 - 2
CON
9%
18%
73%
|
68 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 0
CON
53%
24%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 0
CON
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2022 |
FLI
0 - 0
CON
24%
27%
50%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | 0 |