Haverfordwest County vs Connah's Quay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.8%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.4%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 1
NEW
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
TNS
2 - 0
HAV
79%
14%
7%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 2
BAL
16%
23%
61%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 1
HAV
80%
13%
7%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2015 |
CAR
4 - 1
HAV
59%
21%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Connah's Quay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
CON
4 - 0
CAR
45%
25%
31%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
NEW
4 - 2
CON
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2015 |
POR
0 - 4
CON
45%
26%
30%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
CON
5 - 3
CAE
59%
21%
20%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
CON
1 - 2
ABE
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | 0 |