Haverfordwest County vs Colwyn Bay analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.7%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
6º
2º
25
3º
6º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
49 | 21 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 15 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 12 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
27 | 12 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
25 | 11 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
32 | 9 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 1
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
PON
0 - 1
HAV
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
HAV
2 - 0
ABE
60%
23%
17%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
HAV
0 - 1
PEN
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
HAV
30%
26%
44%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Colwyn Bay
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
COL
1 - 0
PON
38%
26%
36%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2024 |
COL
1 - 2
ABE
50%
23%
27%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
PEN
5 - 0
COL
68%
20%
13%
|
52 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BAR
1 - 1
COL
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
COL
0 - 0
HAV
30%
26%
44%
|
51 | 61 | 10 | +1 |