Haverfordwest County vs Cefn Druids AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.2%
9.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 3
BAL
18%
22%
60%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
HAV
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 2
HAV
66%
20%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 1
CON
18%
25%
57%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
AIR
1 - 2
HAV
49%
22%
29%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Cefn Druids AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 1
ABE
19%
22%
59%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
BAL
1 - 1
CEF
88%
9%
3%
|
39 | 68 | 29 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 2
CEF
76%
16%
8%
|
39 | 64 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ABE
4 - 1
CEF
78%
13%
9%
|
39 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
CEF
0 - 3
PEN
18%
23%
59%
|
40 | 60 | 20 | -1 |