Haverfordwest County vs Carmarthen Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
53.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.4%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 1
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
RHY
1 - 1
HAV
58%
22%
20%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 3
ABE
25%
25%
50%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 1
BAN
21%
24%
55%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
BAN
2 - 1
HAV
71%
17%
12%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Carmarthen Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 0
RHY
63%
20%
17%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
BAN
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
ABE
2 - 4
CAR
48%
24%
28%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2016 |
POR
0 - 2
CAR
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
RHY
54%
23%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |