Haverfordwest County vs Cardiff MU analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
11º
8º
34
4º
7º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
38% | 74.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
62% | 25.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
CON
1 - 2
HAV
59%
23%
18%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 0
AAF
81%
13%
6%
|
59 | 36 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HAV
5 - 0
COL
58%
22%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
HAV
65%
21%
15%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
BAL
2 - 0
HAV
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Cardiff MU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
MOL
84%
12%
4%
|
68 | 37 | 31 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CAR
3 - 1
CON
45%
27%
28%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
PON
1 - 3
CAR
23%
27%
50%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
CAE
5 - 1
CAR
36%
27%
38%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2023 |
CAR
2 - 1
NEW
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |