Haverfordwest County vs Barry Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CEF
4 - 1
HAV
49%
24%
28%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
HAV
1 - 1
CEF
49%
24%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2020 |
HAV
2 - 0
ABE
34%
25%
42%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CAE
1 - 4
HAV
74%
16%
10%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | +2 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
HAV
0 - 3
FLI
55%
22%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Barry Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
CAE
2 - 0
BAR
43%
26%
31%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
BAR
6 - 3
FLI
73%
18%
10%
|
63 | 48 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
CON
3 - 1
BAR
69%
20%
11%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 0
NEW
53%
24%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
TNS
2 - 1
BAR
78%
15%
8%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |