Haverfordwest County vs Bala Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.8%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.9%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
66.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.7%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.9%
0-4
4.3%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
HAV
3 - 0
PON
46%
23%
31%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
HAV
4 - 3
SUF
51%
23%
27%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2018 |
CAR
6 - 0
HAV
64%
20%
16%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
STM
1 - 2
HAV
29%
22%
49%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
HAV
6 - 2
GOY
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bala Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
BAL
1 - 3
CAE
48%
24%
28%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2019 |
CAR
3 - 0
BAL
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2019 |
CON
4 - 1
BAL
60%
21%
19%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 1
CON
25%
27%
49%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Dec. 2018 |
LLA
1 - 7
BAL
18%
22%
61%
|
61 | 44 | 17 | +1 |