Haverfordwest County vs Airbus UK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
9.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
5º
2º
2
5º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
3º
|
38 | 19 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
1º
|
44 | 18 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 17 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 13 |
4º
|
71% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 12 |
5º
|
71% | |
|
|
6º
|
2 | 2 |
6º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
HAV
39%
24%
37%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
PON
2 - 1
HAV
29%
25%
47%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
HAV
3 - 1
FLI
39%
27%
35%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
CAE
2 - 0
HAV
50%
24%
27%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2023 |
HAV
2 - 1
CON
25%
28%
47%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Airbus UK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FLI
2 - 1
AIR
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 56 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2023 |
AIR
1 - 7
ABE
25%
22%
53%
|
38 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
AIR
0 - 2
CAE
19%
21%
60%
|
39 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
PON
4 - 0
AIR
66%
19%
15%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CON
5 - 0
AIR
81%
14%
5%
|
41 | 66 | 25 | -1 |