Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
6º
11º
8º
15
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 59 |
2º
|
89.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 49 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 48 |
4º
|
34% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
25.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 46 |
6º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 43 |
7º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 42 |
8º
|
23% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 34 |
9º
|
37% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 33 |
10º
|
38.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 27 |
11º
|
48% | |
|
11º
|
14 | 25 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
38% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
62% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2023 |
CAR
1 - 1
HAV
58%
23%
18%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HAV
1 - 3
CON
25%
27%
47%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
TNS
5 - 1
HAV
76%
15%
9%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
HAV
0 - 4
NEW
33%
26%
42%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
COL
1 - 2
HAV
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
BAL
0 - 1
ABE
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
ABE
1 - 2
PEN
18%
25%
57%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
PON
37%
24%
39%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
COL
3 - 1
ABE
45%
24%
31%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ABE
2 - 4
CAE
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |