Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
28.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2022 |
CAR
3 - 2
HAV
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
HAV
0 - 0
CON
23%
27%
50%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 6
HAV
48%
24%
28%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
HAV
6 - 1
CEF
75%
16%
9%
|
53 | 36 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
HAV
53%
23%
24%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2022 |
CON
1 - 0
ABE
66%
21%
13%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
ABE
2 - 1
BAR
44%
25%
32%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 6
HAV
48%
24%
28%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -2 |
| 12 Mar. 2022 |
ABE
0 - 2
CAR
33%
27%
40%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
CEF
3 - 3
ABE
16%
21%
63%
|
54 | 35 | 19 | 0 |