Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
55.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
NWP
1 - 2
HAV
34%
23%
43%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
MON
2 - 4
HAV
19%
22%
59%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 4
PEN
77%
16%
8%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
UND
2 - 3
HAV
16%
20%
64%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
HAV
6 - 2
POR
30%
25%
45%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +3 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
ABE
1 - 5
TNS
30%
24%
46%
|
57 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABE
24%
24%
52%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 5
ABE
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CON
4 - 0
ABE
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ABE
0 - 3
CAR
54%
23%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |