Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
64.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2015 |
AIR
2 - 1
HAV
78%
15%
7%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
HAV
1 - 2
POR
22%
23%
55%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
RHY
1 - 2
HAV
70%
18%
12%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
HAV
2 - 0
LLA
50%
23%
27%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
PEN
0 - 4
HAV
42%
23%
35%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2015 |
BAN
2 - 3
ABE
38%
24%
38%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 1
BAL
38%
25%
38%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 3
ABE
38%
25%
38%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ABE
1 - 2
AIR
46%
25%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
ABE
5 - 1
GOY
75%
15%
10%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | +1 |