Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.9%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
55.6%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
10%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 1
AIR
23%
26%
52%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 2
AIR
22%
24%
54%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
HAV
1 - 1
RHY
26%
25%
50%
|
47 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
LLA
1 - 0
HAV
60%
21%
19%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 2
CON
25%
24%
51%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ABE
4 - 0
BAN
46%
24%
30%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2015 |
TNS
1 - 1
ABE
68%
18%
13%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TNS
3 - 0
ABE
68%
18%
14%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
AIR
2 - 0
ABE
47%
24%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
RHY
2 - 2
ABE
34%
25%
41%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | -1 |