Haverfordwest County vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.9%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
46.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haverfordwest County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2011 |
CAR
1 - 0
HAV
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
HAV
1 - 4
NEW
45%
25%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
HAV
2 - 3
BAL
60%
22%
18%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
AIR
5 - 0
HAV
63%
21%
16%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
56%
22%
22%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
ABE
2 - 0
AIR
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2011 |
BAL
2 - 1
ABE
30%
25%
45%
|
51 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2011 |
CAR
0 - 1
ABE
46%
25%
29%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2011 |
ABE
2 - 2
NEW
63%
21%
17%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2011 |
ABE
2 - 1
HAV
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |