Havelock North Wanderers vs Wellington United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.8%
16.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havelock North Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 4
HNW
58%
19%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
WEL
4 - 0
HNW
93%
6%
1%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
HNW
2 - 3
MIR
5%
12%
83%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
WSU
4 - 1
HNW
70%
16%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
HNW
2 - 2
WKA
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wellington United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
WUF
1 - 2
MIR
5%
11%
84%
|
20 | 49 | 29 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
WSU
2 - 1
WUF
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
WUF
4 - 2
WKA
37%
22%
41%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
NAP
4 - 0
WUF
83%
11%
7%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
WUF
0 - 4
WEL
7%
12%
82%
|
21 | 44 | 23 | -1 |