Havelock North Wanderers vs Wellington Olympic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.1%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.1%
1-0
1.3%
2-1
1.6%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
3.8%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
4.3%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
9.6%
85.2%
Win probability
3.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
20.1%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
6.5%
2-5
1.6%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
18.7%
0-4
8.5%
1-5
4.3%
2-6
0.9%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.9%
0-5
5.7%
1-6
2.4%
2-7
0.4%
3-8
0%
-5
8.5%
0-6
3.1%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.2%
3-9
0%
-6
4.4%
0-7
1.5%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
0.8%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.3%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havelock North Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
PET
2 - 0
HNW
37%
21%
42%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
HNW
1 - 4
WUF
65%
18%
17%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 4
HNW
58%
19%
23%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
WEL
4 - 0
HNW
93%
6%
1%
|
21 | 50 | 29 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
HNW
2 - 3
MIR
5%
12%
83%
|
22 | 50 | 28 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Olympic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
AUC
3 - 1
WEL
78%
12%
10%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
WSU
1 - 11
WEL
10%
16%
75%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
WEL
2 - 0
WKA
90%
7%
3%
|
45 | 21 | 24 | +1 |
| 30 Jul. 2022 |
WEL
3 - 2
CAS
23%
20%
57%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 5
WEL
14%
16%
71%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | +1 |