Havelock North Wanderers vs North Wellington AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.3%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.7%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.8%
13.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havelock North Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
HNW
1 - 1
WEL
6%
13%
81%
|
25 | 50 | 25 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
HNW
1 - 1
WSU
24%
20%
55%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
MIR
5 - 0
HNW
91%
7%
2%
|
25 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
HNW
0 - 3
NAP
57%
19%
24%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
WKA
4 - 1
HNW
29%
21%
50%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 3
MIR
5%
12%
83%
|
18 | 49 | 31 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
NAP
2 - 2
NWA
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2022 |
WSU
3 - 2
NWA
81%
12%
7%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
NWA
1 - 2
WEL
9%
13%
79%
|
19 | 42 | 23 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2022 |
NWA
2 - 2
WKA
45%
21%
35%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |