Havelock North Wanderers vs Miramar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
4%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
83.1%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
14.3%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.8%
1-5
2.6%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.7%
0-5
4.8%
1-6
1.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havelock North Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2022 |
WSU
4 - 1
HNW
70%
16%
13%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
HNW
2 - 2
WKA
51%
21%
28%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2022 |
NAP
1 - 0
HNW
72%
15%
13%
|
24 | 29 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
WEL
10 - 0
HNW
86%
9%
5%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
HNW
2 - 1
PET
85%
10%
5%
|
25 | 14 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Miramar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
MIR
5 - 1
WSU
84%
10%
6%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
MIR
2 - 1
WEL
49%
23%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Jun. 2022 |
MIR
9 - 0
WSU
88%
9%
4%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
IBU
1 - 3
MIR
3%
8%
89%
|
49 | 11 | 38 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
WKA
0 - 4
MIR
7%
11%
82%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | 0 |