Havant & Waterlooville vs Thurrock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.2%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.7%
13.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
HAV
2 - 2
EAS
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
DOR
0 - 0
HAV
23%
25%
52%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
BRO
1 - 0
HAV
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
HAV
1 - 3
WEL
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2010 |
HAV
0 - 0
WES
79%
14%
7%
|
53 | 33 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Thurrock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
DOV
1 - 0
THU
69%
19%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
THU
1 - 3
BIS
52%
23%
25%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2010 |
THU
2 - 2
HAM
40%
25%
35%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2010 |
BOR
2 - 2
THU
44%
26%
31%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2010 |
LEW
2 - 1
THU
46%
25%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |