Havant & Waterlooville vs Notts County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
44.9%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2021 |
BAT
2 - 1
HAV
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 39 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
HAV
1 - 2
EAS
73%
17%
10%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 2021 |
HAV
4 - 2
HUN
71%
18%
11%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
HAV
1 - 0
BRA
77%
15%
8%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 3
HAV
20%
21%
59%
|
50 | 33 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
WEY
0 - 1
NOT
21%
25%
55%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
NOT
2 - 0
SOL
58%
23%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
NOT
0 - 0
GUL
48%
25%
28%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
STO
1 - 2
NOT
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2020 |
NOT
0 - 1
HAR
58%
22%
20%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |