Havant & Waterlooville vs Farnborough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
14.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
BRO
2 - 0
HAV
54%
25%
22%
|
50 | 50 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 1
CON
61%
21%
18%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
HAV
2 - 2
SUT
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
HAY
0 - 1
HAV
24%
26%
50%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
HAV
0 - 1
DOV
41%
24%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Farnborough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2015 |
SUT
2 - 0
FAR
65%
19%
16%
|
38 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2015 |
FAR
0 - 2
NOR
28%
25%
47%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | -2 |
| 17 Jan. 2015 |
HEM
4 - 1
FAR
71%
16%
13%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2015 |
FAR
1 - 0
MAI
40%
25%
35%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Jan. 2015 |
MAI
2 - 2
FAR
50%
23%
27%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |