Havant & Waterlooville vs Cray Valley PM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
16%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
DAR
2 - 1
HAV
42%
26%
32%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
BAT
0 - 3
HAV
29%
25%
47%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
BIL
1 - 2
HAV
24%
23%
53%
|
48 | 35 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2020 |
HAV
4 - 1
CHA
82%
13%
6%
|
48 | 17 | 31 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
HAV
2 - 2
MAI
63%
21%
16%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Cray Valley PM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2020 |
WHI
1 - 1
CRA
14%
18%
69%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
MAI
2 - 3
CRA
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
WHY
1 - 0
CRA
33%
22%
46%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2020 |
CRA
2 - 0
AVE
29%
22%
49%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
WHY
2 - 2
CRA
40%
22%
38%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | 0 |