Havant & Waterlooville vs Chelmsford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.3%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
25.3%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
WEA
3 - 2
HAV
52%
23%
25%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 2
HAV
41%
26%
33%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
HAV
1 - 0
HAY
65%
20%
15%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
HAV
2 - 0
DAR
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BAS
1 - 1
HAV
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chelmsford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CHM
3 - 1
BAT
63%
20%
17%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
CHM
3 - 0
MAI
28%
25%
47%
|
41 | 53 | 12 | +2 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CON
1 - 0
CHM
54%
22%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
EAS
2 - 0
CHM
46%
24%
30%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2016 |
HEM
1 - 1
CHM
60%
20%
20%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |