Havant & Waterlooville vs AFC Hornchurch analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.2%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Havant & Waterlooville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
HAV
2 - 3
EAS
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
EAS
0 - 1
HAV
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
GRI
4 - 0
HAV
74%
16%
10%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
HAV
3 - 1
STA
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 2012 |
BRA
1 - 2
HAV
55%
23%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Hornchurch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2013 |
WEL
4 - 0
HOR
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2012 |
HOR
1 - 0
BIL
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
HOR
0 - 3
WEL
18%
25%
57%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
HOR
3 - 0
BAS
41%
28%
31%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
WES
1 - 0
HOR
50%
23%
28%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | -1 |