Haugesund vs Viking Stavanger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.8%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
57.9%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
22
4º
16º
15º
37
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 64 |
1º
|
87% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 54 |
2º
|
25.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 54 |
3º
|
31.5% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 53 |
4º
|
22% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 47 |
5º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
33% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 41 |
7º
|
25.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 38 |
8º
|
16.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 36 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 36 |
10º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 34 |
11º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 34 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 32 |
13º
|
10.5% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 32 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 30 |
15º
|
18.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 27 |
16º
|
49% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 6% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 29% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 54% |
|
Mid-table
|
49.5% | 11% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
17.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
33% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haugesund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
BBS
1 - 1
HAU
69%
19%
11%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
HAU
1 - 2
S08
35%
25%
40%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
SIF
2 - 2
HAU
61%
22%
18%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2024 |
VFF
0 - 1
HAU
59%
23%
19%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
HAU
0 - 1
BOG
15%
20%
65%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Viking Stavanger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
VKG
2 - 0
KRI
66%
20%
15%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2024 |
KFU
1 - 2
VKG
20%
23%
57%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
VKG
4 - 2
RBK
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
AIK
1 - 2
VKG
34%
25%
41%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
MFK
2 - 2
VKG
55%
21%
23%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |