Haugesund vs Vard analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.5%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
17.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haugesund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
RAU
2 - 2
HAU
55%
22%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2004 |
HOD
5 - 0
HAU
42%
24%
34%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -2 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
HAU
3 - 0
TRO
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
HAU
2 - 0
MAN
56%
22%
22%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
POR
2 - 3
HAU
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Vard
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 2
ELP
21%
24%
56%
|
46 | 69 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
KON
6 - 1
VAR
52%
23%
25%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
VAR
1 - 3
HON
37%
25%
38%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
IKS
4 - 2
VAR
77%
14%
9%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
VAR
2 - 0
BRY
19%
21%
60%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | +1 |