Haugesund vs Fredrikstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.5%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
4º
16º
15º
34
2º
13º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 64 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 54 |
2º
|
41% | |
|
3º
|
40 | 54 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 51 |
4º
|
39% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 48 |
5º
|
36.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
34 | 45 |
6º
|
39.5% | |
|
7º
|
30 | 41 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 37 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 36 |
9º
|
16.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 36 |
10º
|
14% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 35 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 33 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 32 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
23 | 31 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 29 |
16º
|
30% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 1% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 7.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
42.5% | 91.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
39% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haugesund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
S08
2 - 2
HAU
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
HAU
52%
26%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
HAU
0 - 1
HAM
39%
26%
35%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
BOG
4 - 2
HAU
75%
16%
9%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
SDF
4 - 3
HAU
45%
27%
29%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fredrikstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 4
BBS
25%
23%
52%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
1 - 0
HAU
52%
26%
23%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 0
KFU
46%
25%
28%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
FFK
2 - 2
RBK
34%
25%
41%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
0 - 1
FFK
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |