Haugesund II vs Årdal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
5.1%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.6%
18.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
8º
13º
8º
22
10º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
69 | 69 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
29 | 29 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 28 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
22 | 22 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 4 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haugesund II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
OTF
3 - 1
HAU
85%
9%
6%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2024 |
HAU
2 - 2
DJE
32%
21%
47%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
FOR
6 - 3
HAU
69%
16%
15%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
HAU
7 - 5
STO
48%
20%
32%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ARD
3 - 0
HAU
18%
18%
63%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -3 |
Matches
Årdal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2024 |
ARD
2 - 1
FAN
8%
12%
80%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2024 |
FFK
4 - 0
ARD
51%
21%
28%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2024 |
ARD
3 - 4
AFK
25%
21%
54%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FOR
2 - 1
ARD
82%
11%
7%
|
22 | 36 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
ARD
3 - 0
HAU
18%
18%
63%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +3 |