Hauenstein vs Paderborn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
49%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hauenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
SAL
1 - 0
HAU
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1995 |
HAU
0 - 0
FCB
41%
27%
33%
|
32 | 46 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1995 |
PRE
1 - 1
HAU
74%
17%
9%
|
31 | 57 | 26 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 1995 |
VFW
3 - 0
HAU
51%
25%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
HAU
1 - 1
ROT
28%
28%
44%
|
32 | 56 | 24 | +1 |
Matches
Paderborn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1995 |
PAD
4 - 0
BNE
69%
18%
13%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1995 |
ARB
1 - 0
PAD
52%
25%
24%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1995 |
PAD
4 - 1
ERK
67%
19%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1995 |
PAD
2 - 1
AAA
66%
19%
14%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1995 |
VER
1 - 1
PAD
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | 0 |