Hauenstein vs FC 08 Homburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
21.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hauenstein
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2004 |
SAA
0 - 1
HAU
49%
24%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2004 |
HAU
1 - 0
HBI
75%
17%
9%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
SVK
1 - 2
HAU
14%
20%
67%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
HAU
0 - 5
WIR
52%
23%
25%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -2 |
| 21 Nov. 2003 |
PIR
1 - 1
HAU
18%
23%
59%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
FC 08 Homburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2004 |
ENG
4 - 0
HOM
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
HOM
1 - 0
SAL
72%
18%
10%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2003 |
SVW
0 - 1
HOM
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2003 |
MAY
1 - 1
HOM
47%
23%
30%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2003 |
HOM
0 - 1
SAA
40%
26%
34%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |