Hatayspor vs Trabzonspor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.6%
44.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
2
13º
18º
19º
5
4º
13º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
18 | 70 |
1º
|
50.5% | |
|
2º
|
13 | 62 |
2º
|
21% | |
|
3º
|
13 | 62 |
3º
|
10% | |
|
|
14º
|
5 | 54 |
4º
|
6.5% | |
|
12º
|
6 | 54 |
5º
|
8% | |
|
5º
|
10 | 54 |
6º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
6 | 52 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
9º
|
8 | 52 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
4º
|
12 | 52 |
9º
|
7.5% | |
|
8º
|
8 | 51 |
10º
|
6.5% | |
|
19º
|
1 | 50 |
11º
|
4% | |
|
10º
|
8 | 48 |
12º
|
9.5% | |
|
7º
|
9 | 47 |
13º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
9 | 46 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
3 | 43 |
15º
|
10.5% | |
|
16º
|
4 | 42 |
16º
|
10% | |
|
13º
|
6 | 37 |
17º
|
16% | |
|
15º
|
4 | 36 |
18º
|
17% | |
|
|
18º
|
2 | 32 |
19º
|
39% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League
|
0% | 3.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 8% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 6.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
19% | 71% |
|
Relegation
|
81% | 5.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hatayspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2024 |
HAT
0 - 1
BOD
45%
26%
29%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ALA
0 - 0
HAT
68%
19%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
HAT
0 - 3
SAM
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
ANT
3 - 2
HAT
57%
24%
20%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2024 |
HAT
1 - 1
KAS
32%
25%
43%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Trabzonspor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2024 |
GFK
0 - 0
TRA
29%
25%
46%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
2 - 2
KAY
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 1
BJK
47%
24%
29%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
EYU
0 - 0
TRA
34%
25%
41%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
1 - 1
STG
46%
23%
31%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |